How to forecast the yield curve
Of course there are many well known econometric models that can be used, which all factor in an increasingly complex number of factors and then do calculations on the back of it to turn out sometimes weird and wonderful - and wildly incorrect in the light of future knowledge - predictions.
One interesting development is so called interactive models, that are actually capable of updating and changing themselves, rather than starting with conditions x and extrapolating, they work out what happens at each stage, and so in this manner are becoming more like humans in terms of always reacting to the situations that are seen at a particular time.
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